Forward Guidance

The Only Way Out Is Through | Weekly Roundup

Can anything stop oil's run when the SPR is already drained? This week, we dig into why the oil squeeze is becoming structural, not just a Strait of Hormuz story. We ex

Where Is The Crypto Alpha Hiding This Cycle?

Is crypto finally rewarding the investors who do the work? This week, we sit down with three top allocators at DAS Singapore to unpack where the real alpha lives in an e

The Bond Market Is Pricing In Something Worse Than Inflation | Weekly Roundup

Is the AI trade now the only thing standing between the economy and a slowdown? This week, we unpack why bonds are rallying through scalding inflation data and what tha

Robinhood & Lighter: Why Wall Street Is Moving Onchain

Are onchain markets about to become the default way the world trades? This week, Felix sits down live at DAS Singapore with Robinhood's Johann Kerbrat and Lighter's Vlad

America’s AI Boom Is Squeezing Main Street | Weekly Roundup

Can policymakers keep the AI boom alive without squeezing the rest of the economy? This week, Aidan Garrib, PGM Global’s head of global macro strategy and research, join

The Bond Market Pain Isn't Over | Weekly Roundup

The 10-year just closed at 5.22%, but the pain trade may be even higher. This week, 40-year rates trading veteran DCP joins us as we examine the bond selloff and what it

The Fed Is Hiking Into A Growth Slowdown | Weekly Roundup

What happens when the Fed hikes into fading stimulus, slowing growth, and persistent inflation? This week, we're joined by Vincent Deluard of StoneX Group to explore Ame

The Market Is Mispricing A Correlation Shock | Dean Curnutt

Historically low volatility may be masking a meaningful shift in market risk and the AI trade. This week, Macro Risk Advisors CEO and Alpha Exchange Host Dean Curnutt ex

The Bond Market Is Trapping The Fed | Weekly Roundup

Bond investors are testing whether policymakers can suppress yields without reigniting the inflation they claim to fear. This week, we unpack the political incentives, s

Fiscal Dominance Is Breaking The 60/40 Portfolio | Matt Hougan & Bob Haber

The 60/40 portfolio was built for an old regime, but what replaces bonds when fiscal dominance and currency debasement become structural? This week, Bitwise CIO Matt Hou

Druck Calls Out Bessent & Will Jackson Hole Derail The Debasement Trade? | Weekly Roundup

The macro establishment is turning on itself as Stan Druckenmiller challenges Scott Bessent’s efforts to suppress long-term Treasury yields. This week, we unpack the Dru

Treasury-Led Financial Repression Is Ushering In A Debasement Regime | Weekly Roundup

Treasury is quietly taking control of financial conditions and the market implications could trigger a new wave in the debasement trade. This week, Felix and Quinn unpac

The Growth Strategy Trapping The Fed | Darius Dale

Running the economy hot may keep growth alive, but it creates a dangerous balancing act for markets. Darius Dale, founder of 42 Macro, joins us to explain why today’s re

Washington Is Suppressing Volatility To Keep The AI Boom Alive | Weekly Roundup

Washington is shifting from monetary management toward state-directed capitalism and the consequences could reshape where capital flows next. This week, Tyler joins us f

The Portfolio Built To Survive Every Crash | Jared Dillian

Markets are relearning that durable wealth comes from disciplined risk management, not chasing momentum or relying on central bank intervention. This week, we're joined

The AI Unwind And Warsh's Long-End Gamble | Weekly Roundup

AI’s leverage-fueled boom is colliding with a Fed determined to tighten conditions without touching short-term rates. This week, we dig into the Situational Awareness li

AI Efficiency Is Repricing The Compute Market | Steve Hou

AI’s next phase hinges on a paradox: falling costs could threaten today’s winners while unlocking far greater demand. Steve Hou, head of research at Silicon Data and for

The AI Unwind Is Forcing A Historic Market Rotation | Weekly Roundup

The market’s most crowded trade is beginning to crack, but where the fallout spreads next remains unclear. This week, we dig into the violent momentum unwind and mountin

Think Like Everyone Else, Lose Like Everyone Else | Brent Donnelly

Markets reward independent thinking, but only if you can avoid the traps that come with it. This week, Brent Donnelly, President of Spectra Markets and author of Trade O

The AI Trade Is Finally Cracking | Weekly Roundup

Markets can look strongest just before their underlying assumptions begin to crack. This week, we examine whether the AI-led growth narrative is beginning to unravel as