The Bayesian Conspiracy

270 – The AIs Aren’t Aligned and Everyone Is Finally Noticing, w Matt Freeman

We asked Matt to come on for a different topic, and we had to pivot to the latest AI stuff because it’s so big. LINKS Rick Rescorla, a 9/11 hero we talk about Our prev

269 – The Power of Specificity in Argument

A lot of updates and feedback before the main post. Then we get into The Power to Demolish Bad Arguments by Liron. LINKS The Power to Demolish Bad Arguments The Overha

extra – Vishal: Short form video is kinda Satanic

Vishal talks about PlzDontKillUs and short form video culture. Plus AI Doom! Vishal’s Blog Vishal’s Compute Cop video, and also all the rest

268 – The Other Sexual Orientation & Disappearing the Kinky

Wes joins us! We discuss Aella’s post The Other Sexual Orientation. Then we find fault with a Kegan-level-4 post about how CNC Kink should be disappeared. LINKS The Oth

extra – Milo on PlzDontKillUs, short form video, and rationality

Milo’s favorite video – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I8YYwlIWI2E&utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss plzdontkillus – https://portal.plzdontkillus.com/home?utm_source=rss&ut

extra – Jessiah on HPMOR, video essays, and fiction

Jessiah Mellot talks about HPMOR, and the video essay he made about HPMOR for PlzDontKillUs. Watch this on Youtube here see Jessiah’s video essay here

267 – HuggingFace Hack & Effective Altruism Funding Flood

First feedback, then we talk about OpenAI’s latest megamodel independently commiting cybercrime in a world-first incident. Then the Haters who hate altruism when it’s the

266 – AI2040 Plan A Rundown

We go through AI2040 Plan A in years. LINKS AI-2040 AskWho Casts Pro Tomas Bjartur’s “The Company Man” and “The Origami Men” Paid Bonus content for the week – Presho

265 – VibeCamp 5 with Wes, Gina, and Mary

Steven is joined by the hosts of the Sex and Sensibility podcast! Join us as we explore the vibrant world of VibeCamp, a unique gathering where creativity, curiosity, and

264 – Becoming a Romantic with Damon and Ivy

Eneasz and Steven are at LessOnline/SummerCamp and Steven was lucky enough to attend a short presentation by Damon (Daystar Eld) and Ivy on How to Become a Romantic. The

263 – Human Values Were Forged in Malthusian Competition

Our values are robust against Moloch because they were forged in his flames. LINKS When does competition lead to recognisable values? Our episode 18 – Robin Hanson Interv

262 – EA Veganism Revisited

In Episode 258 we talked about EA Veganism for a bit… and that bit was not long enough. So here we go again! Fill out Steven’s 3-question survey! LINKS Our episode 258 –

261 – The Button That Almost Nuked Glosso Got Eneasz Instead

The stupid red-button/blue-button discourse came back. Eneasz thought he could sit out this round until Aella went Chaos God with her social media app, Glosso. Fill out o

260 – The Right to be Wrong About Doom

We discuss how far the right to be wrong goes, a recent intra-rat kerfuffle, and why random violence is bad. And it’s secretly all about AI Doom. Fill out our 2-question

259 – Chill Out on AI in 2028?

Matt returns to discuss a post urging us to chill out on AI if there isn’t imminent doom in 2028. There is no video or preshow chat today, due to user error in setting up

258 – How Effective Altruism Has Evolved

We talk about three EA-adjacent articles, hitting veganism, directing your donations, and community. LINKS Why you should eat meat – even if you hate factory farming by K

257 – Pentagon Comes For Claude

We relive the last 48 hours of the future of humanity being wrestled over. The Pentagon wants to use Claude for comprehensive mass surveillance of Americans and autonomou

256 – Writing for LLMs

We are inspired by Andrew Cutler’s Writing for AI to consider the value of writing for LLMs LINKS Andrew Cutler’s Writing for AI Gwern’s Writing for LLMs Tracing Woodgrai

255 – Eneasz goes to CFAR, and Epistemically Honest Reassurance

Eneasz talks a bit about his CFAR experience, and we discuss DaystarEld’s Epistemically Honest Reassurance LINKS CFAR’s home page Upcoming CFAR workshops our episode 152

254 – The True Theme and Meaning of HPMOR

WSCFriedman gets to the core of what HPMOR is ACTUALLY about, and finally pinpoints why we love it so much, in his essay Harry Potter And The Methods Of Rationality Is A