Inside Prediction Markets

Inside a Fully Manual Prediction Market Strategy: Where Human Judgment Finds an Edge

This week, Chris and Henry welcome trader Clay Alter to discuss his move from sportsbooks to live trading on Kalshi and Polymarket US. Clay breaks down his hands-on appro

Trading Elections: Separating Narratives From Numbers

This week, Polymarket’s CEO allegedly used company funds to fly private, Matt Downs’ created a game lines analysis on X and we observe flat PM volume week over week. Then

Finding Success in NBA Trading: From Top-Down to Modeling

This week, Seth, aka @Soarin22 on X, joins us to share how he went from an actuary to a full-time NBA trader and built a one-man trading operation with roughly $2 million

Novig Climbs to #1 in Sports: What’s Behind the Downloads?

This week, we discuss the CFTC’s potential collaboration with the SEC, Novig’s climb to #1 in the App Store’s sports category and prediction markets’ growth as the NFL se

NFL Hype vs. Reality: Which Quarterbacks Are Worth Backing?

This week, @ssigsbee had his first losing month, Kalshi’s allowing margin trading and Novig hit $100 million in a single day! Then, we get into Survivor and Chris’ observ

Turning $100 to $1M on Prediction Markets: How to Build a Winning Operation

Our guest this week, @evenstevengg on X, started sports betting in 2022 with $100 on a sportsbook. Now he hasn't placed a sportsbook bet in months. We talk about why he w

CFB vs. NFL Kickoff Weekend: Where the Real Volume Showed Up

Football is back! This week we discuss Pinnacle’s statement on X, FanDuel’s market making on Kalshi and where the vig gets applied differently depending on how competitiv

Week 1 NFL Picks, Power Rankings & Why This Pro Bettor Is All-In on the L.A. Rams

This week, pro sports bettor Rob Pizzola (X: @robpizzola) joins us to break down Week 1 NFL matchups. He walks us through his background, his automated closing-line-drive

Prediction Markets Face Their Biggest Legal Test Yet: Explained By Top Sports Betting Attorney

This week we discuss LSU reportedly using prediction markets to hedge Lane Kiffin-related bonuses, Donald Trump Jr.’s ties to the industry, the politics surrounding predi

The Race to Dominate NFL Prediction Markets

This week, President Trump expressed his support of prediction markets in the U.S., our Novig CEO and co-founder Jacob had a CNBC feature and NFL players are returning to

Professional NFL Handicapper Reveals His Biggest Preseason Edges

We open this week with our 3 big things: Kalshi has a new 3.5% maker fee on RFQs, Underdog just released a new crash-style game and Novig passed Rothera in trailing 7-day

The Prediction Market Takeover Is Just Getting Started | BetBash 2026

For this week’s episode, we filmed in Las Vegas at BetBash 2026! We sat down with our good friend Pads to hear how he went from working as a chemical engineer to becoming

Inside Novig’s New Market Making Firm: Manhattan Athletic Group (MAG)

Underdog just sold to IG group for $1.3 billion and the state of New York is suing Kalshi for $36 billion. This week we also discuss BetBash, the annual sports gambling n

From Poker To Prediction Markets: How To Build A Profitable Operation

Netflix released a new documentary about prediction markets and is facing some backlash. Kalshi is threatening legal action towards Netflix based on some false informatio

Building a Winning Prediction Market Trading Team

Kalshi is rolling out compute forward curves and really expanding after World Cup markets have brought an insane wave of volume into prediction markets this summer. Also,

How AI Gives You a Massive Edge on Prediction Markets

From Kalshi's new Pro trading terminal to the Bryce Harper FanDuel controversy, Henry and Chris discuss all the biggest stories this week. Importantly, they dive into how

Malik Beasley EXPOSED, Prediction Market BANNED in Michigan, and World Cup Volume SHATTERING Records

A Michigan judge has banned Kalshi from offering sports contracts in the state unless they obtain an OSB license — and ordered $120,000 per day in fines if they don't com

Inside the Mind of a 15-Year SIG Trader & The Future of Prediction Markets

Former Susquehanna International Group (SIG) trader Andrew Courtney (@andrewcourt1) joins the Optic Odds Hot Seat to discuss what it's really like inside one of the world

Optic Odds CEO on Powering the Industry + World Cup Volume Shattering Records

Matt Restivo, CEO of Optic Odds, joins Chris and Henry in the Optic Odds Hot Seat. Matt traces the full origin story: from a Stanford dorm room startup called OddsJam to

This NYC Bar Is Using Prediction Markets to Hedge Your Tab If the Knicks Win

A New York City bar is covering every customer's tab if the Knicks win game one — and they're hedging the entire risk on a prediction market. Chris and Henry break down w