Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens

Profitez de la Violence | UFC Paris Breakdown: Parnasse vs Hooker | Ep. 56

The UFC is in Paris and the final 13 events of the season are officially underway. Rob breaks down two fights through the model this week. The main event features the UFC

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong + UFC Pack Rip | UFC Shanghai Breakdown | Ep. 55

UFC Shanghai kicks off at 3AM ET and Rob is up early to break it all down. Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong headlines UFC Shanghai this week! Two fights for us to break d

Hernandez vs Rodrigues | UFC Sacramento Breakdown | FWN. Ep 54

UFC Sacramento isn't the most glamorous card on the calendar, but the model doesn't need glamour — it needs edges. Rob breaks down two fights this week, Plus another card

Three Live Dogs & Two Title Fights | UFC 330 Breakdown | FWN Ep. 53

UFC 330 is headlined by Islam Makhachev chasing history — a 17th consecutive UFC win that would put him alone at the top of the all-time record. One historic main event.

Gamrot vs Salkilld + One More Pack Rip | UFC Vegas 120 Breakdown | FWN Ep. 52

UFC Vegas 120 is back at the APEX and the data is as thin as it's been all season — but that doesn't mean there's nothing to work with. Rob breaks down a couple fights on

Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez | UFC Belgrade Breakdown

The UFC heads to Belgrade this week and the main event comes with a storyline the model simply can't account for. Rob breaks down what that means for the fight, how the n

Ankalaev vs Guskov + Pack Rip Vol. 2 | UFC Abu Dhabi Betting Preview | FWN Ep. 50

The UFC is in Abu Dhabi this week and Rob is back with another lean card, another early morning start, and another pack rip. Two fights make the cut for the model this we

Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman + Live Card Rip | UFC Oklahoma City Breakdown | FWN Ep. 49

The UFC heads to Oklahoma City for a shorter card this week, and Rob starts by addressing the elephant in the room — Conor McGregor's knee gave out in the first round, BS

McGregor is Back | UFC 329 Model Breakdown | FWN Ep. 48

The Mac is back. Five years removed from his last fight and six years since his last win, Conor McGregor steps back into the octagon at welterweight for a rematch against

Fiziev vs Torres | UFC Baku Model Predictions | FWN Ep. 47

The UFC heads to Baku, Azerbaijan this week as Rafael Fiziev looks to make a statement in front of his home crowd against a red-hot Manuel Torres — a fighter who has bare

UFC Vegas 119: Kape vs Horiguchi 2 | FWN Ep. 46

Back at the APEX after one of the wildest events in UFC history. Rob recaps the White House card and gets into UFC Vegas 119 — a shorter card headlined by a legitimate fl

UFC Freedom 250 | White House Bets | FWN Ep. 45

The UFC takes it outside — literally — as the promotion sets up on the lawn of the White House for a card with two title fights and genuine history on the line. Rob break

UFC Vegas 118: Muhammad vs Bonfim | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 44

UFC Vegas 118 lands at the APEX this week with a former welterweight champion looking to stop the bleeding against a rising contender riding serious momentum. If you're

UFC Macau: Song vs Figueiredo | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 43

The UFC is back from a week off and so is Fighting With Numbers. This week the promotion heads to Macau for an early morning card — 4AM Eastern for those of us stateside.

UFC Vegas 117: Allen vs Costa | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 42

UFC Vegas 117 brings a lean APEX card to close out the stretch before the UFC takes a week off — and Fighting With Numbers marks one year of the podcast. Rob breaks down

UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 41

UFC 328 is headlined by a middleweight title fight with some genuine bad blood behind it — Khamzat Chimaev defends his belt against Sean Strickland, who gets his third sh

UFC Perth: Della Maddalena vs Prates | Bets & Predictions | FWN Ep. 40

The UFC heads to Perth, Australia this week for a card that has most of us in the States setting a 1AM alarm. Rob breaks down three fights through the model — including a

UFC Vegas 116: Sterling vs Zalal | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 39

UFC Vegas 116 is headlined by former bantamweight champion, Aljamain Sterling, set to face one of the hottest fighters in the featherweight division right now in Youssef

UFC Winnipeg: Burns vs Malott | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 38

UFC heads to Winnipeg this week for a lean card — but before diving into the fights, Rob pulls back the curtain on how the Fighting With Numbers model actually works. Wha

UFC 327: Prochazka vs Ulberg | Betting Breakdown | Fighting With Numbers Ep. 37

Rob Moreno provides an in-depth analysis of UFC 327, including fight predictions, betting insights, and fighter breakdowns. He shares his modeling process, key fight data