Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcasts

$513,333 Up in Smoke: Grandissimo Entry Misses Deadline | Circle Back | Presented by ProphetX

A Grandissimo entry worth an estimated $513,333 never got its Week 6 pick in, and the player says his proxy forgot to submit it. That left 14 entries chasing the $7.7 mil

NBA Minutes and Rotations: How a Pro Finds Week 1 Edges | Off Script | Presented by ProphetX

How does a professional NBA bettor get ready for opening week? Pips NBA breaks down how he gathers information from the 30 teams in 30 days series and preseason film, tur

Should You Fade Big Line Moves? I Tested 6 Years of Data | Presented by ProphetX

Beating the closing line is the best long-run sign you're betting well, but a lot of what gets called CLV isn't, and even great numbers lose all the time. I used years of

How Sharp Bettors Actually Use AI For Betting | Presented by ProphetX

Everyone says AI can help you win at sports betting, but there's a right way and a wrong way to use it. We cover why more context beats a better prompt, why you should al

A Simple SGP Edge Every Bettor Should Be Looking For | Presented by ProphetX

Sharp bettor Thon Misser breaks down the MLB same game parlay angle that kickstarted his betting career: a pricing bug that turned round number totals into a free half ru

Wembanyama Just Took A Huge Stand Against Prediction Markets | Circle Back | Presented by ProphetX

Victor Wembanyama put his foot down this week, declaring he will never endorse a prediction market or sportsbook. That bold stance opens up a massive conversation about w

How I Think About Betting Trends (This One Surprised Me) | Presented by ProphetX

Teams playing on Thursday after a Sunday overtime game are 7-29 against the spread since 2000. I’m not a trends guy, so here’s exactly how I work through a stat like this

Ohio Just Dealt Prediction Markets A Massive Blow | Circle Back | Presented by ProphetX

NFL Week 3 delivered chaos, the Steelers upset the 2-0 Bengals in Pittsburgh, Josh Allen and the Bills survived five turnovers to beat the Chargers, and Drake Maye's turn

How Sharp Bettors Build NBA Season Simulators | Off Script | Presented by ProphetX

Thon Misser joins Off Script to break down the NBA season simulator he's been rebuilding this offseason, how it prices different tiers of players, and what changes after

Pro Trader Explains The Truth Behind Prediction Market Makers | Presented by ProphetX

Can sharps actually beat a prediction market maker? Chris "Flup" Dierkes breaks down what market makers really do, why new exchanges need in-house liquidity, how auto-mov

NFL Week 2 • Sportsbook AI Targets Losers • +EV Is Overrated? | Circle Back | Presented by ProphetX

NFL Week 2 sports betting reaction gets broken down live on Circle Back, alongside a New York Times report alleging a sportsbook used an AI model to score customers by ex

Inside A Pro Bettor's CFP Simulator: Where Humans Still Win | Off Script | Presented by ProphetX

A College Football Playoff simulator reveals the real tension in sports betting: when do you trust an algorithm's clean number, and when does a sharp bettor's read on one

Pro Sports Bettor Breaks Down The CFTC's Market Making Proposal | Presented by ProphetX

The CFTC has proposed new rules that could reshape how market making works across prediction market platforms, from fee treatment for in-house market makers to limits on

Week 1 Fallout • NFL Concedes To PMs • Sydney Sweeney | Circle Back | Presented by ProphetX

The NFL, under Commissioner Roger Goodell, has taken a major step in its evolving relationship with prediction markets, and the crew breaks down what it means for sports

Inside The $240M LeBron Market: What Was Really Happening | Presented by ProphetX

The LeBron James next-team market became the second-largest market prediction platforms have ever seen, trailing only the World Cup, with over $240 million traded. Peanut

The Motivation Angle That Made Bettors Rich (Then Died) | Presented by ProphetX

Do quants ignore motivation? I tested the most famous motivation angles in football, revenge games and blowout bounce backs, against 20+ years of real NFL closing lines.

The Tennis Edge Sportsbooks Still Aren't Pricing Correctly | Presented by ProphetX

Sharp bettor and responsible gaming advocate Isaac Rose-Berman joins Circles Off at BetBash to break down a tennis edge hiding in plain sight. Because of the way tennis s

The College Football Edge That Hid in Plain Sight for Two Years | Presented by ProphetX

In this episode of Legendary Loopholes, China joins Circles Off to break down one of the most unique player prop edges of the last decade. Starting around 2016, China bui

Aaron Donald is RETURNING to the NFL! | Circle Back | Presented By ProphetX

NFL weekend chaos, Week Zero heartbreak, and plenty of drama. Aaron Donald is back — so what does that mean for the Rams and their futures? Plus, Jacobs lands on the com

Trump Jr Says BACK OFF • American Odds Shift • Sharps Go Dark | Circle Back | Presented by ProphetX

This week on Circle Back, host Jacob Gramegna is joined by Porter, Isaac Rose-Berman, and Shipper to break down three stories shaking up the prediction markets and sports